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From power station to plug

How electricity reaches you in Britain, who handles it on the way, and why most of your bill isn't the electricity itself.

Before electricity reaches a plug in your home, it has usually been made at a power station, carried along the national grid and then a local network, and sold at least twice on the way. Everyone who handles it is paid out of one bill, which for a typical home comes to about £855 a year at this winter’s prices, £5 more than a year ago.

That’s despite the government saying in January that renewables such as wind and solar “remain the cheapest” power to build and run.

Before we look: your guessThe answer

How much of each £1 on your electricity bill pays for the electricity itself?

Tap the scale where you think it is, then press Show me.Adjust it if you like, then press Show me. Arrow keys move 1p, Page Up and Page Down move 10p, Home and End go to 0p and £1.

44p the electricity

56p everything else

The electricity is 44p of every £1. The other 56p pays for the wires, government schemes, and the supplier's costs and profit.

Where your £855 goes

Ofgem’s benchmark home, using 2,500 units (kilowatt-hours) of electricity a year, Oct–Dec 2026. The £1,723 price cap in the news covers gas as well.

44p Electricity 27p Wires 17p Supplier costs 8p Schemes 4p Profit

Hatched: paid through the standing charge, 23p of each £1

A bar split into the parts of a typical £855 electricity bill: the electricity itself 44p of each £1, the wires 27p, running the supplier 17p, government schemes 8p, supplier profit and headroom 4p. About 23p of each £1 is the standing charge.

Source: Ofgem price cap model; LCCC (OGL) See the numbers: Where your £855 goes

A typical home's electricity bill, Oct-Dec 2026: 2,500 kWh a year, single rate, Direct Debit, GB average, before levelisation. Ofgem, Default tariff cap level v1.31 (pre-levelised model) and 'Energy price cap unit rates and standing charges'; LCCC price-cap inputs (CfD).
Ofgem cost line £ a year Of each £1 In the standing charge
The electricity itself£379.1744.4p£0.00
The wires£228.5926.7p£123.62
Running the supplier£142.8716.7p£63.23
Government schemes£71.948.4p£3.41
Supplier profit£23.112.7p£5.34
Headroom£9.031.1p£1.05
Total (VAT 0%)£854.72100p£196.66

Part 1 of 3

Part 1: At the power station

Who sets the price of power, and how do wind and solar farms get paid?

Most of the electricity from Britain’s power stations is sold in bulk on the wholesale market, where suppliers buy it to sell on to homes and businesses.

Prices there are quoted per megawatt-hour (MWh), or 1,000 units, so £100/MWh works out at 10p a unit.

Roughly speaking, each station offers to sell at a price that covers its running costs, and the cheapest offers are accepted first until there’s enough to meet demand. So every station selling at that moment is paid the price asked by the last station needed.

£0 £50 £100 Gas, ran anywayWindNuclear and othersImportsBiomassOther Gas £75–£93 Not needed £75–£93 Demand 37.9 GW £101 for everyone set by gas, the last plant needed £11 above my estimate 0102030405060 Gigawatts (GW), cheapest first → 1 GW for an hour = a million units

A November evening · 6 Nov 2025, 6–6:30pm · wind 2.8 GW

£0 £50 £100 Gas, ran anywayWindNuclear and othersImportsBiomassOther Gas £75–£93 Not needed £75–£93 Demand 37.9 GW £101 for everyone set by gas, the last plant needed £11 above my estimate 0102030405060 Gigawatts (GW), cheapest first → 1 GW for an hour = a million units

A December evening · 18 Dec 2025, 5–5:30pm · wind 15.4 GW

£0 £50 £100 Gas, ran anywayWindNuclear and othersImportsBiomassOther Gas £74–£92 Not needed £74–£92 Demand 40.0 GW £73 for everyone near the cheapest gas cost 0102030405060 Gigawatts (GW), cheapest first → 1 GW for an hour = a million units

A March afternoon · 25 Mar 2026, 1:30–2pm · wind 18.4 GW

£0 £50 £100 Gas, ran anywayWindNuclear and othersImportsBiomassOther Gas £104–£128 Gas not needed £104–£128 Demand 28.4 GW £7 for everyone far below what gas costs to run 0102030405060 Gigawatts (GW), cheapest first → 1 GW for an hour = a million units

Only gas’s running cost (fuel and carbon) is worked out, so the price can be above or below it. The other blocks’ order and heights are illustrative, because offers aren’t public. Rooftop solar shows up as lower demand.

Britain's power stations queued by what they cost to run, at three real moments. On a November evening with little wind (6 November 2025) gas was the last plant needed and set the price at £101 a megawatt-hour. On a December evening with plenty of wind (18 December 2025) the price, £73, sat at about what gas costs to run. On a windy March afternoon (25 March 2026) gas wasn't needed, something cheaper set the price, and it fell to £7.

Source: Elexon BMRS; ONS gas prices; the author’s analysis. Contains BMRS data © Elexon Limited copyright and database right 2026 See the numbers: The power stations at three moments

  1. These are Britain’s power stations, grouped by source and lined up by what they cost to run, at 6–6:30pm on Thursday 6 November 2025, when wind was making only 2.8 GW. Each block is as wide as its output in gigawatts (GW; 1 GW for an hour is a million units). Wind and nuclear cost little to run once they’re built, so they go first.

    Blocks of output in a queue from cheapest to most expensive to run: wind, nuclear, imports and biomass low and to the left, gas rising at the right. 6 November 2025, 6–6:30pm.
  2. The line marks demand, 37.9 GW, and the last plant needed to meet it burned gas. So gas set the price, at £101/MWh. That’s a little above the gas block because real offers can include costs other than fuel and carbon, such as starting up. Everyone selling in that half-hour was paid that price, including wind farms on the market price, and they kept everything above their own running costs.

    A demand line crosses the queue inside the gas block. The last gas plant needed is lit, and a price line reads £101 for everyone.
  3. Six weeks later, on 18 December 2025, wind was making 15.4 GW, which pushed the queue to the right. Gas was still needed, but only from the more efficient plants, and the price, £73/MWh, sat at about what they cost to run.

    18 December 2025: a longer wind block pushes the queue right. Demand still falls inside the gas block, at a lower point on its ramp, and the price is £73.
  4. At 1:30–2pm on 25 March 2026, with demand at only 28.4 GW and wind making 18.4 GW, wind and other cheap power covered demand without needing gas. Something cheaper set the price, which fell to £7/MWh.

    25 March 2026: demand ends before the gas ramp. A small block of gas that ran anyway sits at the front, and the price is £7, set by something cheaper than gas.
Three moments in Great Britain, half an hour each. Output by source (gigawatts) from Elexon FUELHH; net imports; the market index price (£ a megawatt-hour); and the running cost of an efficient (54%) and an older (44%) gas plant that day, fuel plus carbon. Demand here is the sum of the sources shown.
Half hour Price Demand Wind Nuclear Imports Biomass Hydro and other Gas Gas running cost
A November evening: 6 Nov 2025, 6–6:30pm£100.5137.9 GW2.8 GW3.7 GW2.8 GW3.0 GW2.8 GW22.6 GW£74.98–£92.56
A December evening: 18 Dec 2025, 5–5:30pm£72.6740.0 GW15.4 GW3.5 GW6.2 GW3.0 GW3.1 GW8.8 GW£74.30–£91.73
A March afternoon: 25 Mar 2026, 1:30–2pm£6.6228.4 GW18.4 GW4.5 GW2.7 GW1.1 GW0.8 GW1.0 GW£103.53–£127.61

Gas plants cost more to run than wind farms or nuclear stations because they have to buy fuel and pay for the carbon they emit. Since a gas plant is the last station needed most of the time (exactly how often is disputed), the wholesale price tracks what it costs to run a gas plant over the year as a whole.

Over the 12 months to September the wholesale price averaged £95/MWh, just under the £98 it cost to run an efficient gas plant.

On windy days the price fell well below that, to a daily average of £26/MWh on Saturday 19 September.

The wholesale price follows the cost of running a gas plant

£ a megawatt-hour, daily, Oct 2025–Sep 2026

Two daily lines from October 2025 to September 2026. The average wholesale price (mean £95 a megawatt-hour) and the running cost of an efficient gas plant (mean £98) rise and fall together through the winter; on windy days the price drops well below the gas line, furthest on 19 September 2026, at £26.

Source: Elexon BMRS; ONS gas prices; the author’s analysis. Contains BMRS data © Elexon Limited copyright and database right 2026 See the numbers: The wholesale price follows the cost of running a gas plant

Daily means, £ a megawatt-hour. Price: Elexon market index (half hours with trades). Gas plant: an efficient (54%) gas plant's fuel and carbon cost plus £2 running costs, from ONS gas prices and DESNZ carbon prices.
Day Wholesale price Running a gas plant
2025-10-01£81.8£75.3
2025-10-02£76.0£72.7
2025-10-03£56.1£72.0
2025-10-04£9.6£75.9
2025-10-05£30.9£77.3
2025-10-06£80.5£79.2
2025-10-07£88.5£80.8
2025-10-08£89.1£80.2
2025-10-09£93.7£79.6
2025-10-10£87.5£78.9
2025-10-11£90.5£78.6
2025-10-12£96.8£79.1
2025-10-13£126.4£78.3
2025-10-14£100.0£77.8
2025-10-15£95.7£77.9
2025-10-16£86.8£78.3
2025-10-17£89.6£77.7
2025-10-18£85.0£77.2
2025-10-19£65.6£76.8
2025-10-20£78.1£74.8
2025-10-21£79.8£73.4
2025-10-22£96.5£75.3
2025-10-23£71.5£75.9
2025-10-24£39.8£76.3
2025-10-25£23.6£76.2
2025-10-26£26.5£76.7
2025-10-27£54.8£75.6
2025-10-28£49.1£74.5
2025-10-29£69.7£75.7
2025-10-30£72.7£75.0
2025-10-31£59.9£73.8
2025-11-01£45.5£73.9
2025-11-02£74.9£74.0
2025-11-03£47.4£74.7
2025-11-04£64.2£76.0
2025-11-05£74.9£75.6
2025-11-06£87.0£75.1
2025-11-07£82.4£75.8
2025-11-08£76.3£74.0
2025-11-09£79.2£73.9
2025-11-10£71.5£72.9
2025-11-11£70.5£68.0
2025-11-12£52.5£68.8
2025-11-13£57.0£70.6
2025-11-14£72.4£73.0
2025-11-15£74.8£73.6
2025-11-16£84.5£72.2
2025-11-17£85.0£77.1
2025-11-18£82.2£80.5
2025-11-19£88.5£79.7
2025-11-20£102.2£79.6
2025-11-21£111.3£78.5
2025-11-22£78.1£77.5
2025-11-23£74.3£76.4
2025-11-24£85.5£76.7
2025-11-25£91.9£76.9
2025-11-26£86.1£76.3
2025-11-27£66.4£75.4
2025-11-28£76.9£75.1
2025-11-29£64.7£74.1
2025-11-30£67.6£74.0
2025-12-01£73.5£75.2
2025-12-02£84.1£74.9
2025-12-03£89.3£75.0
2025-12-04£78.3£73.1
2025-12-05£75.1£72.8
2025-12-06£72.0£72.5
2025-12-07£69.1£72.2
2025-12-08£66.5£71.9
2025-12-09£68.4£72.7
2025-12-10£56.5£72.7
2025-12-11£66.5£72.3
2025-12-12£80.9£73.7
2025-12-13£75.2£74.1
2025-12-14£49.8£73.9
2025-12-15£80.1£74.3
2025-12-16£87.7£73.5
2025-12-17£77.2£73.9
2025-12-18£61.9£74.3
2025-12-19£60.4£75.5
2025-12-20£87.4£76.1
2025-12-21£78.9£75.9
2025-12-22£73.0£74.7
2025-12-23£74.5£74.0
2025-12-24£71.5£74.9
2025-12-25£79.9£75.2
2025-12-26£82.2£75.9
2025-12-27£71.4£76.2
2025-12-28£82.2£76.6
2025-12-29£84.5£77.0
2025-12-30£87.0£77.2
2025-12-31£72.6£77.6
2026-01-01£55.0£79.3
2026-01-02£80.4£79.3
2026-01-03£81.8£79.8
2026-01-04£89.3£81.6
2026-01-05£120.8£82.6
2026-01-06£147.0£80.2
2026-01-07£78.8£79.7
2026-01-08£145.0£78.3
2026-01-09£88.1£77.3
2026-01-10£83.0£77.9
2026-01-11£80.1£77.7
2026-01-12£85.5£79.7
2026-01-13£91.8£83.3
2026-01-14£90.4£85.5
2026-01-15£97.0£87.4
2026-01-16£101.2£92.3
2026-01-17£103.3£94.0
2026-01-18£103.7£93.9
2026-01-19£102.4£92.4
2026-01-20£87.0£90.9
2026-01-21£94.1£92.7
2026-01-22£96.8£94.8
2026-01-23£94.5£95.2
2026-01-24£91.0£94.8
2026-01-25£97.3£95.7
2026-01-26£107.1£96.9
2026-01-27£96.1£96.8
2026-01-28£112.4£95.2
2026-01-29£116.1£96.1
2026-01-30£96.7£96.6
2026-01-31£96.1£96.1
2026-02-01£99.5£88.6
2026-02-02£95.0£83.9
2026-02-03£85.6£79.0
2026-02-04£91.4£77.8
2026-02-05£81.8£79.1
2026-02-06£94.2£81.1
2026-02-07£89.9£79.2
2026-02-08£84.2£78.9
2026-02-09£91.7£78.2
2026-02-10£80.4£75.8
2026-02-11£81.9£75.0
2026-02-12£77.7£75.4
2026-02-13£79.1£74.8
2026-02-14£82.0£74.8
2026-02-15£79.0£74.3
2026-02-16£76.9£73.0
2026-02-17£79.4£72.4
2026-02-18£70.8£73.0
2026-02-19£92.1£75.9
2026-02-20£76.1£75.1
2026-02-21£70.9£73.2
2026-02-22£48.4£71.7
2026-02-23£64.0£72.8
2026-02-24£83.1£71.7
2026-02-25£74.8£71.6
2026-02-26£49.3£71.8
2026-02-27£73.1£73.4
2026-02-28£79.8£77.7
2026-03-01£44.6£78.1
2026-03-02£72.2£84.3
2026-03-03£116.6£101.3
2026-03-04£120.8£104.8
2026-03-05£107.3£102.5
2026-03-06£111.3£104.7
2026-03-07£128.3£108.9
2026-03-08£127.8£116.2
2026-03-09£135.3£116.7
2026-03-10£91.3£100.7
2026-03-11£59.9£97.5
2026-03-12£85.8£100.7
2026-03-13£77.6£101.7
2026-03-14£111.4£104.2
2026-03-15£56.2£102.8
2026-03-16£102.2£101.6
2026-03-17£85.0£100.3
2026-03-18£110.0£105.0
2026-03-19£117.8£114.3
2026-03-20£125.7£116.5
2026-03-21£124.8£111.6
2026-03-22£121.6£112.4
2026-03-23£122.3£112.2
2026-03-24£56.8£107.3
2026-03-25£43.0£104.1
2026-03-26£119.2£105.4
2026-03-27£99.0£107.3
2026-03-28£58.2£107.2
2026-03-29£55.6£108.6
2026-03-30£56.1£108.3
2026-03-31£116.5£101.6
2026-04-01£112.7£101.6
2026-04-02£102.8£102.7
2026-04-03£57.0£104.2
2026-04-04£61.1£103.8
2026-04-05£20.9£103.0
2026-04-06£79.6£102.4
2026-04-07£54.2£103.7
2026-04-08£105.6£98.9
2026-04-09£99.4£96.0
2026-04-10£85.0£94.8
2026-04-11£4.4£96.0
2026-04-12£57.5£101.5
2026-04-13£117.8£101.2
2026-04-14£100.7£95.0
2026-04-15£84.8£91.4
2026-04-16£94.1£90.5
2026-04-17£79.0£88.9
2026-04-18£76.0£89.2
2026-04-19£92.0£90.7
2026-04-20£96.2£89.4
2026-04-21£87.4£89.3
2026-04-22£59.8£91.3
2026-04-23£105.8£93.8
2026-04-24£103.9£94.3
2026-04-25£102.0£94.2
2026-04-26£97.7£93.6
2026-04-27£96.0£93.6
2026-04-28£93.8£92.8
2026-04-29£83.9£94.3
2026-04-30£55.5£96.2
2026-05-01£106.6£97.4
2026-05-02£100.3£96.1
2026-05-03£105.3£96.5
2026-05-04£107.6£99.8
2026-05-05£113.3£100.6
2026-05-06£105.3£96.3
2026-05-07£119.5£96.6
2026-05-08£110.5£96.1
2026-05-09£96.0£95.7
2026-05-10£68.3£96.2
2026-05-11£103.3£99.8
2026-05-12£101.1£101.3
2026-05-13£120.8£101.6
2026-05-14£100.9£101.8
2026-05-15£110.6£105.4
2026-05-16£109.3£108.2
2026-05-17£100.1£108.1
2026-05-18£117.9£108.3
2026-05-19£96.3£108.5
2026-05-20£112.3£106.2
2026-05-21£107.1£104.2
2026-05-22£109.7£102.7
2026-05-23£109.8£101.4
2026-05-24£95.9£100.3
2026-05-25£106.7£99.3
2026-05-26£121.8£99.3
2026-05-27£102.2£97.3
2026-05-28£80.0£97.5
2026-05-29£102.5£98.2
2026-05-30£106.7£98.9
2026-05-31£103.2£99.6
2026-06-01£108.4£101.9
2026-06-02£114.2£101.4
2026-06-03£97.2£102.6
2026-06-04£42.0£102.3
2026-06-05£98.7£102.6
2026-06-06£81.8£102.4
2026-06-07£40.0£102.9
2026-06-08£106.7£104.1
2026-06-09£97.7£103.3
2026-06-10£108.0£105.0
2026-06-11£112.6£104.3
2026-06-12£79.0£101.1
2026-06-13£29.2£99.1
2026-06-14£48.3£97.8
2026-06-15£101.9£95.9
2026-06-16£108.5£93.8
2026-06-17£109.9£92.6
2026-06-18£107.5£91.6
2026-06-19£88.5£92.6
2026-06-20£109.8£94.4
2026-06-21£105.9£94.4
2026-06-22£107.7£93.5
2026-06-23£176.7£92.1
2026-06-24£125.0£91.1
2026-06-25£104.7£89.5
2026-06-26£108.6£89.8
2026-06-27£84.0£91.7
2026-06-28£62.8£91.6
2026-06-29£110.9£92.2
2026-06-30£109.6£93.5
2026-07-01£107.7£93.4
2026-07-02£45.8£94.5
2026-07-03£108.2£95.4
2026-07-04£53.1£95.6
2026-07-05£96.4£95.5
2026-07-06£70.2£94.9
2026-07-07£99.3£97.6
2026-07-08£117.5£101.2
2026-07-09£119.2£103.9
2026-07-10£121.0£102.9
2026-07-11£114.5£101.2
2026-07-12£68.5£102.1
2026-07-13£109.1£104.1
2026-07-14£115.9£108.6
2026-07-15£119.9£110.8
2026-07-16£127.0£111.8
2026-07-17£119.5£114.5
2026-07-18£109.6£117.0
2026-07-19£76.3£118.1
2026-07-20£120.1£117.3
2026-07-21£138.5£118.1
2026-07-22£139.3£121.6
2026-07-23£125.3£122.7
2026-07-24£120.4£123.9
2026-07-25£74.1£125.1
2026-07-26£63.2£119.8
2026-07-27£125.2£117.6
2026-07-28£102.2£115.2
2026-07-29£128.8£117.8
2026-07-30£131.6£118.3
2026-07-31£127.8£118.1
2026-08-01£114.1£119.0
2026-08-02£130.7£116.4
2026-08-03£125.7£116.0
2026-08-04£120.1£115.7
2026-08-05£84.4£112.5
2026-08-06£114.6£113.8
2026-08-07£109.3£114.1
2026-08-08£82.7£112.4
2026-08-09£92.6£112.4
2026-08-10£119.1£116.0
2026-08-11£133.2£120.3
2026-08-12£135.9£121.3
2026-08-13£142.5£121.1
2026-08-14£138.6£122.0
2026-08-15£141.0£124.1
2026-08-16£147.2£126.3
2026-08-17£162.7£126.1
2026-08-18£153.9£127.2
2026-08-19£158.0£127.7
2026-08-20£146.2£128.9
2026-08-21£137.0£130.3
2026-08-22£89.7£131.0
2026-08-23£110.5£130.8
2026-08-24£137.2£131.6
2026-08-25£134.2£130.4
2026-08-26£147.4£129.3
2026-08-27£164.2£131.5
2026-08-28£136.0£130.8
2026-08-29£127.6£130.5
2026-08-30£157.5£130.8
2026-08-31£132.3£133.3
2026-09-01£121.4£138.9
2026-09-02£166.8£142.4
2026-09-03£120.5£140.5
2026-09-04£83.6£140.7
2026-09-05£57.6£145.7
2026-09-06£87.7£146.4
2026-09-07£138.2£145.1
2026-09-08£144.6£146.6
2026-09-09£160.2£151.2
2026-09-10£144.7£155.7
2026-09-11£170.3£155.3
2026-09-12£103.7£154.5
2026-09-13£195.5£156.7
2026-09-14£179.8£158.0
2026-09-15£148.8£152.4
2026-09-16£154.3£151.2
2026-09-17£99.3£150.6
2026-09-18£78.7£151.8
2026-09-19£25.7£152.6
2026-09-20£51.2£153.3
2026-09-21£167.1£150.5
2026-09-22£158.5£143.9
2026-09-23£152.0£142.8
2026-09-24£166.0£146.1
2026-09-25£153.7£142.7
2026-09-26£133.3£143.2
2026-09-27£96.2£144.5
2026-09-28£166.4£144.4
2026-09-29£141.3£140.4
2026-09-30£120.4£140.0

How wind and solar are paid

Wind and solar farms sell into the same market, but what they end up earning depends on the deal they were built under.

According to the UK Energy Research Centre (UKERC), most of Britain’s electricity in 2024 was paid the market price and nothing more. Older wind and solar farms and biomass plants under the Renewables Obligation (RO), a subsidy scheme, earned the market price plus certificates paid for through a levy on bills. Only about a tenth, mostly offshore wind, was sold at a fixed price under a contract for difference (CfD).

Most power is still paid the market price

Britain’s generation in 2024, by how it’s paid

Market price 61%
Gas, nuclear, and wind and solar farms with no subsidy deal: paid whatever the market pays.
Market price + certificate 27%
Older wind, solar and biomass under the Renewables Obligation: the market price, plus a certificate for each unit, paid for through a levy.
Fixed price (CfD) 11%
Mostly offshore wind on contracts for difference: a fixed price. Bills top it up when the market price is lower, and the farm pays back when it’s higher.

The pale stripe: on top of the market price, Renewables Obligation plants earn certificates for every unit.

A bar of Britain's generation in 2024 (272 TWh) by how it was paid: 61% at the market price (gas, nuclear and some renewables), 27% at the market price plus a Renewables Obligation certificate, and 11% at a fixed price under a contract for difference. Together the first two, 89%, earn the market price, so they are paid gas's price whenever gas sets it: the "close to 90%" often quoted. Ember forecasts CfDs will cover 36% of generation by 2030.

Source: UKERC, The price of power (2025), Fig. 3a; Ember (2030 forecast) See the numbers: Most power is still paid the market price

Great Britain's generation in 2024 by how generators are paid, terawatt-hours, from the labels of UKERC's Figure 3a. Ember forecasts 36% of generation on a CfD by 2030 (15% in 2025).
How it is paid TWh Share
The market price16761.4%
of which gas87
of which renewables43
of which nuclear37
The market price plus a certificate7427.2%
A fixed price3111.4%
Total272100%

UKERC expects the share paid the market price, close to 90% in 2024, to fall to about 60% by 2028 as more CfD plants come on stream.

A generator on a CfD gets an agreed price, and a levy on bills makes up the difference whenever the market price is lower. When the market price is higher, the generator pays the difference back. CfD generators did that in 2022, when gas prices soared.

A contract for difference pays both ways

How it works, and what it did in 2022/23

How it works · not real prices

2022/23, when power was expensive · £ million

  • Paid in by suppliers, from bills

    £669m
  • Paid in by generators, as prices were above their agreed price

    £677m
  • Net, returned to suppliers

    £8.6m

The two flows nearly cancelled out, so the scheme’s net effect on bills that year was close to zero.

Now, with cheaper power · Oct–Dec 2026

About £13 a year on a typical bill: with power cheaper than the agreed prices, bills now top the generators up.

A diagram: a generator with a contract for difference gets an agreed price. When the market price is below it, bills top the generator up; when the market price is above it, the generator pays the difference back. In 2022/23, when prices were high, CfD generators paid £677m into the scheme while suppliers paid in £669m, so the net effect was £8.6m returned to suppliers, close to zero. Now, with cheaper power, CfDs add about £13 a year to a typical bill (Oct-Dec 2026).

Source: Low Carbon Contracts Company, Annual Report 2022/23 and price-cap inputs (OGL) See the numbers: A contract for difference pays both ways

Low Carbon Contracts Company, financial year 2022/23, cash basis: 'we took £668.8m from suppliers and received £677.4m from generators … resulting in a net flow of £8.6m from generators to suppliers'.
Flow £ million
Paid in by suppliers (from bills)668.8
Paid in by CfD generators677.4
Net, from generators to suppliers8.6
Now (Oct-Dec 2026): CfD cost on a typical bill, £ a year (LCCC price-cap input, £5.01/MWh × 2.5 MWh)12.54

On this winter’s forecasts, CfDs add about £13 a year to the typical bill. The energy regulator Ofgem includes that in the cost of the electricity itself, not in the government schemes.

When gas sets a high price, older wind farms, nuclear stations and other plants paid the market price earn well above their running costs, while plants on CfDs hand the extra back.

Part 2 of 3

Part 2: On the way to you

Who handles it between the power station and your home, and what does each add?

Homes buy their electricity from a supplier such as British Gas, Octopus, EDF or E.ON. Suppliers buy most of their power months ahead, so most of their costs are fixed before they set their prices.

The power travels over the high-voltage national grid – owned by National Grid and others – and then over a local network such as UK Power Networks, both of which are privately owned and regulated by Ofgem.

The government-owned National Energy System Operator (NESO) keeps supply and demand balanced second by second, and Elexon works out who owes what for each half-hour. NESO and Elexon, like Ofgem, are paid for out of the network and industry charges that suppliers pay.

Once it’s on the wires, electricity from every power station mixes – there’s no sending one station’s output to one home – so the contracts and the money follow a route of their own.

Each home pays one bill to its supplier, which in turn pays the generators it bought from, the network companies and the government schemes.

The power and the deal take different paths

The usual way electricity reaches a home

The deal · who sells and who buys

  1. Generator a wind farm, gas plant or nuclear station sells its output
  2. Wholesale market traders and aggregators buy and resell it, often months ahead
  3. Supplier buys power, fixes prices ahead, bills you
  4. You pay one bill to the supplier

The wires · how the power travels

  1. Power station puts power on the grid
  2. National grid high-voltage lines, owned by National Grid and others
  3. Local network the poles and cables in your area, such as UK Power Networks
  4. Your meter records what you use

Overseeing both

  • NESO keeps supply and demand balanced, second by second
  • Elexon settles who owes what for each half-hour
  • Ofgem regulates the suppliers and the networks, and sets the price cap
Two paths, side by side. The deal: a generator sells into the wholesale market, where traders and aggregators buy and resell; a supplier buys, fixes prices ahead and bills you. The wires: the power station feeds the national grid, then your local network, then your meter. NESO balances supply and demand, Elexon settles who owes what each half-hour, and Ofgem regulates.

Source: Ofgem, Elexon and NESO public registers and rules, via the author’s chain map See the numbers: The power and the deal take different paths

The usual path, in words.
Path Who What they do
The dealGeneratora wind farm, gas plant or nuclear station sells its output
The dealWholesale markettraders and aggregators buy and resell it, often months ahead
The dealSupplierbuys power, fixes prices ahead, bills you
The dealYoupay one bill to the supplier
The wiresPower stationputs power on the grid
The wiresNational gridhigh-voltage lines, owned by National Grid and others
The wiresLocal networkthe poles and cables in your area, such as UK Power Networks
The wiresYour meterrecords what you use
Overseeing bothNESOkeeps supply and demand balanced, second by second
Overseeing bothElexonsettles who owes what for each half-hour
Overseeing bothOfgemregulates the suppliers and the networks, and sets the price cap

Beyond this usual route, a few businesses buy differently. Some sign a long-term deal directly with a wind or solar farm, some take power straight from a small generator, and some use one of the newer energy companies, such as Tem and UrbanChain, that match renewable generators with businesses. On every route the power still travels on the same wires and pays for them (how the other routes work).

What each of them adds

The electricity is only the first line of Ofgem’s breakdown of the bill. The wires, the government schemes and the supplier’s running costs all have to be paid for whatever the wholesale price does, whether the power comes from a wind farm or a gas plant.

Where your £855 goes, line by line

A typical home’s year of electricity, Oct-Dec 2026 rates

Your electricity bill

A typical home, 2,500 units a year


  1. The electricity itself wholesale, bought by your supplier £379.17 paid to power stations, through the market
  2. of which contracts for difference £12.54
  3. of which capacity market £38.44
  4. The wires national and local networks £228.59 paid to network companies and NESO
  5. of which in the standing charge £123.62
  6. Government schemes levies set by government £71.94 paid to older green generators, poorer homes, Sizewell C
  7. Renewables Obligation (was £82.65 last winter) £20.46
  8. Feed-in tariffs £20.13
  9. Warm Home Discount £15.93
  10. Sizewell C (new nuclear) £11.59
  11. two smaller schemes £3.84
  12. Running the supplier staff, systems, bad debt £142.87 paid to your supplier and industry bodies
  13. of which bad debt £26.68
  14. Supplier profit before interest and tax £23.11 paid to your supplier
  15. Headroom a buffer for uncertain costs £9.03
  16. VAT 0% this winter; at 5% it would add £42.74 £0.00

Total £854.72

Each bar is that line’s share of the bill. Ofgem’s price-cap allowances, GB average, Direct Debit. Lines are rounded to the penny, so they can differ from the totals by 1p.

A till slip of a typical home's £855 electricity bill in Ofgem's lines. The electricity is £379, the wires £229, government schemes £72, running the supplier £143, supplier profit £23 and headroom £9, and VAT is 0% this winter.

Source: Ofgem price cap model; LCCC (OGL) See the numbers: Every line of the typical bill

  1. The power itself comes to £379 a year, including £38 for the capacity market, which pays power stations to be available when demand peaks. Network charges for the wires are £229, and £124 of that is in the standing charge.

    The slip prints its first lines: the electricity, £379, with the capacity market £38 and CfDs about £13 beneath it, then the wires, £229, of which £124 is in the standing charge.
  2. Government schemes take £72. The biggest is the RO, which cost the typical home £83 a year last October and now adds £20. Since April taxpayers have covered three-quarters of households’ RO costs, under a November 2025 Budget measure that runs for three years.

    The government schemes line prints: £72, split into the RO, feed-in tariffs, the Warm Home Discount and Sizewell C.
  3. Running the supplier costs £143, including bad debt from customers who don’t pay. Ofgem allows £23 of profit, 2.7% of the bill, plus headroom for costs suppliers can’t predict, and there’s no VAT until the end of March.

    The supplier's lines print: running costs £143, of which £27 is bad debt, profit £23 and headroom £9. VAT prints at £0, and the slip totals £855.
A typical home's electricity bill, Oct-Dec 2026: 2,500 kWh a year, single rate, Direct Debit, GB average, Ofgem's pre-levelised model. The CfD line is LCCC's price-cap input (£361.5m over 72.09 TWh = £5.01/MWh × 2.5 MWh), inside "buying the power".
Line £ a year Of each £1
The electricity itself£379.1744.4p
of which Buying the power£340.7339.9p
of which contracts for difference£12.541.5p
of which Capacity market£38.444.5p
The wires£228.5926.7p
of which in the standing charge£123.6214.5p
of which in the unit rate£104.9712.3p
Running the supplier£142.8716.7p
of which staff, systems, metering£98.3811.5p
of which bad debt£26.683.1p
of which industry charges£19.242.3p
of which smart-meter savings−£1.44−0.2p
Government schemes£71.948.4p
of which Renewables Obligation (was £82.65 in Oct–Dec 2025)£20.462.4p
of which Feed-in tariffs£20.132.4p
of which Warm Home Discount£15.931.9p
of which new nuclear (Sizewell C)£11.591.4p
of which two smaller schemes£3.840.4p
Supplier profit£23.112.7p
Headroom£9.031.1p
VAT (0% this winter)£0.000p
Total£854.72100p

Ofgem sets an allowance for each of these lines every quarter. It uses them to cap the unit rate and standing charge on standard variable tariffs, the default for anyone who hasn’t chosen another deal. Fixed deals aren’t capped. The cap limits the rates rather than the total bill, which still goes up with use.

Since last year the power itself on a typical bill has gone up by about £77, and the network and supplier costs have risen too. The government schemes cost £74 less, though, mostly because of the change to the Renewables Obligation. Taking the 5% VAT off for the winter saves another £40.

The power cost more, but scheme costs and VAT came off

A typical home’s yearly bill, Oct 2025 to Oct 2026

Axis starts at £700. The Oct 2025 bill, which included 5% VAT, is rescaled from Ofgem’s 3,100-unit model to 2,500 units.

A waterfall from last year's typical bill, £849, to this year's, £855. The electricity itself +£77, The wires +£24, Running the supplier +£16, Profit and headroom +£4, Government schemes −£74, VAT −£40.

Source: Ofgem price cap model (OGL) See the numbers: The power cost more, but scheme costs and VAT came off

Typical electricity bill, 2,500 kWh, single rate, Direct Debit, GB average. 2,500 kWh, single rate, Direct Debit, GB average. Oct-Dec 2025 rescaled from Ofgem's 3,100 kWh model as nil + (benchmark - nil) x 2,500/3,100 (an inference). Oct 2025 includes 5% VAT; Oct 2026 has 0% VAT.
Line £ a year
Oct 2025 bill£849.28
The electricity itself+£76.85
The wires+£23.81
Running the supplier+£15.65
Profit and headroom+£3.57
Government schemes−£74.02
VAT−£40.44
Oct 2026 bill£854.72

Part 3 of 3

Part 3: At your plug

Why is there a standing charge, and why doesn’t a windy day make your bill cheaper?

The standing charge

Some of these costs are charged by the day rather than by the unit, through a standing charge that suppliers set within the cap. On this winter’s typical tariff the standing charge is 54.83p a day on top of 26.32p a unit, owed even on days when nothing is used: £200 a year, or about £17 a month for a flat that’s standing empty.

About 63% of it pays for the wires and 32% for running the supplier. It also varies by region. London has the lowest and North Wales and Merseyside the highest, about £90 a year more (by region).

Ofgem’s own figures show the standing charge more than doubling, from £86 a year in October 2021 to £219 in July 2024. Most of the jump came in April 2022, when a 2019 Ofgem decision known as the Targeted Charging Review moved the networks’ fixed costs out of the unit rate and into the standing charge.

The standing charge has more than doubled since 2021

Pence a day, before VAT, a typical home

Before VAT and before the small levelisation top-up: the published rate this winter is 54.83p.

What’s in it now · £197 a year, Oct–Dec 2026

63% the wires32% running the supplier5% schemes, profit and headroom

A step line of the typical electricity standing charge from April 2021 to October 2026: 23.7p a day in 2021, 43.2p from April 2022 when network costs moved into it, and 53.9p now, before VAT. The network part grew from 4.8p to 33.9p a day. Today 63% is the wires, 32% is running the supplier, 5% is schemes, profit and headroom.

Source: Ofgem price cap model (OGL) See the numbers: The standing charge has more than doubled since 2021

Typical electricity standing charge, single rate, Direct Debit, GB average, before VAT and levelisation (Ofgem model, nil-consumption cost). Apr 2022: network 'residual' charges move into the standing charge (Targeted Charging Review). The Apr 2025 dip and Apr 2026 rise in the network part are in Ofgem's model; the reason was not found.
Cap period Pence a day Network part £ a year
April 2021 - September 202123.70p4.77p£86.52
October 2021 - March 202223.69p4.77p£86.48
April 2022 - September 202243.18p23.13p£157.60
October 2022 - December 202244.15p23.13p£161.14
January 2023 - March 202344.15p23.13p£161.14
April 2023 - June 202350.44p28.26p£184.12
July 2023 - September 202350.44p28.26p£184.12
October 2023 - December 202350.83p28.26p£185.51
January 2024 - March 202450.81p28.26p£185.44
April 2024 - June 202456.09p33.04p£204.73
July 2024 - September 202456.14p33.04p£204.89
October 2024 - December 202457.09p33.04p£208.37
January 2025 - March 202557.08p33.04p£208.34
April 2025 - June 202550.29p26.08p£183.55
July 2025 - September 202547.50p26.08p£173.37
October 2025 - December 202549.72p26.08p£181.47
January 2026 - March 202650.76p26.08p£185.28
April 2026 - June 202653.19p33.87p£194.13
July 2026 - September 202653.20p33.87p£194.18
October 2026 - December 202653.88p33.87p£196.66

Ofgem says it cannot remove these costs and “can only move [them] from one part of the bill to another”. Since June four large suppliers have been trialling the reverse move, lower standing charges with higher unit rates (the trial).

The standing charge weighs most on homes that use little. A home using 4,000 units a year spreads it over more units and pays about 31p a unit all in. At 1,000 units a home pays less in total, but 46p a unit.

The less you use, the more each unit costs you

Pence a unit, all in, by how much you use a year

Using 2,500 units a year (typical), each costs 34.3p all in: 26.32p unit rate plus 8.0p of standing charge. With a lower standing charge (dashed): 34.3p.

Dashed: an illustration, not a real tariff, that works the way Ofgem’s lower-standing-charge pilot does. £100 a year moves from the standing charge (54.83p → 27.43p) into the unit rate (26.32p → 30.32p), so a home using 2,500 units pays the same.

A curve of the all-in price a unit against yearly use, on this winter's typical tariff (26.32p a unit plus 54.83p a day). At 1,000 units a year each unit costs 46.3p all in; at 2,500, 34.3p; at 4,000, 31.3p. The gap above the 26.32p unit rate is the standing charge spread over your units. A dashed second curve shows an illustration: £100 a year moved from the standing charge into the unit rate. The curves cross at 2,500 units; below that you'd pay less (40.3p a unit at 1,000), above it more (32.8p at 4,000).

Source: Ofgem price cap rates (OGL) See the numbers: The less you use, the more each unit costs you

All-in pence a unit and the yearly bill by use, at 26.32p a unit and 54.83p a day (Ofgem price cap, Oct–Dec 2026, Direct Debit, GB average, VAT 0%).
Units a year Pence a unit, all in of which standing charge Yearly bill Lower standing charge (illustration): pence a unit Its yearly bill
50066.3p40.0p£33250.3p£252
1,00046.3p20.0p£46340.3p£403
1,50039.7p13.3p£59537.0p£555
2,00036.3p10.0p£72735.3p£707
2,50034.3p8.0p£85834.3p£858
3,00033.0p6.7p£99033.7p£1,010
3,50032.0p5.7p£1,12133.2p£1,161
4,00031.3p5.0p£1,25332.8p£1,313
4,50030.8p4.4p£1,38532.5p£1,465
5,00030.3p4.0p£1,51632.3p£1,616
5,50030.0p3.6p£1,64832.1p£1,768
6,00029.7p3.3p£1,77932.0p£1,919

Your own bill shows your unit rate and standing charge, and the usage chart works out what this winter’s typical rates add up to at any level of use.

Windy days and the bill

On a windy day like 25 March 2026, when the wholesale price fell to £7/MWh, the low price hardly shows on a household bill.

Why a windy day doesn’t show up on your bill

From the wholesale market to a typical bill

Four steps. 1. Windy hours are cheaper: In 2025, power averaged £60 a megawatt-hour in hours with little gas, against £130 when gas made over half of it. 2. But most power is bought ahead: Suppliers buy most of their power weeks or months ahead, and only about a fifth of Britain’s power trades at that on-the-day price. 3. The cap looks back: Ofgem sets each quarter’s cap from forward prices in a window before the quarter begins, so a windy day inside it comes too late. 4. £10 less ≈ £25 a year: £10 a megawatt-hour off for a whole year is 1p a unit, or about £25 on a typical £855 bill, and it comes off only the electricity’s 44p of each £1.

Source: Ember; Elexon BMRS; Ofgem (OGL). Contains BMRS data © Elexon Limited copyright and database right 2026 See the numbers: Why a windy day doesn’t show up on your bill

The numbers behind the four steps. Ember: average wholesale prices in 2025 by how much of the mix was gas. Elexon BMRS: the market index volume against national demand, Oct 2025-Sep 2026. Ofgem: this winter's electricity wholesale allowance, and the typical bill (Oct–Dec 2026, 2,500 kWh).
What Value
Average price, hours with gas under 20% of the mix (Ember, 2025)£60/MWh
Average price, hours with gas over 50% of the mix (Ember, 2025)£130/MWh
Traded at the short-term market index (47 TWh of 228.6 TWh demand)20.6%
Rise in Ofgem’s electricity wholesale allowance, this winter10%
£10/MWh for a year × 2,500 kWh£25
The electricity’s share of each £1 of the typical bill44.4p

Windier years do feed through to bills, but months later, because the cap follows forward prices set well in advance.

When Ofgem announced this winter’s cap on 26 August, it said the electricity wholesale allowance was going up 10%. Ofgem put that partly down to low wind and tight supplies across Europe, which had “led to an increased reliance on gas fired generation”.

What would make bills fall?

Some changes already under way could lower bills and others will raise them. They happen at different times between now and 2037 and are measured in different ways, so they can’t simply be added together.

What could push bills down, and what pushes them up

Changes that push a typical bill down ↓ or up ↑, by where they act

  1. At the power station

    • Down: More power on fixed prices. As contracts for difference cover more output, gas sets the price less often: DESNZ expects about half the time by 2030.
    • Down: A modest saving. If gas prices hold, UKERC estimates the change in the generation mix could save about £20 a year per household by 2028.
    • Down: New wind priced below new gas. In January's auction, offshore wind in England and Wales won contracts at £91.20 a megawatt-hour, against the government's £147 for a new gas plant. (the caveats)
    • Up: Paying for back-up. Capacity market payments rise from £1.26bn (2024/25) to £3.47bn (2026/27).
  2. In government schemes

    • Down: Old subsidies ending. Many plants leave the Renewables Obligation on 31 March 2027, and the rest as their 20 years run out, by 2037.
    • Up: New nuclear. The Sizewell C levy, about £12 a year on the typical bill now.
    • Up: A temporary transfer. Taxpayers cover three-quarters of household RO costs only until April 2029.
At the power station. Down: More power on fixed prices. As contracts for difference cover more output, gas sets the price less often: DESNZ expects about half the time by 2030. Down: A modest saving. If gas prices hold, UKERC estimates the change in the generation mix could save about £20 a year per household by 2028. Down: New wind priced below new gas. In January's auction, offshore wind in England and Wales won contracts at £91.20 a megawatt-hour, against the government's £147 for a new gas plant. Up: Paying for back-up. Capacity market payments rise from £1.26bn (2024/25) to £3.47bn (2026/27). In government schemes. Down: Old subsidies ending. Many plants leave the Renewables Obligation on 31 March 2027, and the rest as their 20 years run out, by 2037. Up: New nuclear. The Sizewell C levy, about £12 a year on the typical bill now. Up: A temporary transfer. Taxpayers cover three-quarters of household RO costs only until April 2029.

Source: DESNZ, Ember, UKERC, Ofgem and others, each named in the numbers See the numbers: What could push bills down, and what pushes them up

What could push a typical household electricity bill down, and what pushes it up or holds it, by where on the path each change acts. No netting: the items are on different horizons and bases.
Where Direction Change Source
At the power stationDownMore power on fixed prices. As contracts for difference cover more output, gas sets the price less often: DESNZ expects about half the time by 2030.DESNZ; Ember
At the power stationDownA modest saving. If gas prices hold, UKERC estimates the change in the generation mix could save about £20 a year per household by 2028.UKERC
At the power stationDownNew wind priced below new gas. In January's auction, offshore wind in England and Wales won contracts at £91.20 a megawatt-hour, against the government's £147 for a new gas plant.DESNZ
At the power stationUpPaying for back-up. Capacity market payments rise from £1.26bn (2024/25) to £3.47bn (2026/27).EMR Settlement
In government schemesDownOld subsidies ending. Many plants leave the Renewables Obligation on 31 March 2027, and the rest as their 20 years run out, by 2037.DESNZ; the RO Order
In government schemesUpNew nuclear. The Sizewell C levy, about £12 a year on the typical bill now.Ofgem
In government schemesUpA temporary transfer. Taxpayers cover three-quarters of household RO costs only until April 2029.HM Treasury, via Carbon Brief

Your bill pays the government schemes and everyone on the way to your plug, from the power station over the grid and a local network to the supplier. The power station’s share falls as more cheap power is sold at fixed prices or replaces gas in setting the price.

More, if you want it

More detail, and the background to some widely quoted numbers.

How often does gas set the price?

Nobody outside the market sees every offer, so this can’t be measured exactly.

The Department for Energy Security and Net Zero (DESNZ) said on 21 April that gas sets the price “around 60%” of the time today, down from around 90% in the early 2020s, but it hasn’t published how it measured that.

Zakeri and Staffell’s peer-reviewed study found that fossil-fuel plants set the price 97% of the time in 2021, the year gas prices soared, and 88% of the time in 2015. By 2021 nearly all of those plants burned gas.

I ran my own test, counting how often over the past year the price was close to a gas plant’s running cost, and it gives 56–87% depending on how close counts (method). UKERC’s 90% is often quoted alongside these as a share of time. It actually measures the share of generation paid prices driven by gas.

Estimates of how often gas sets the price run from about 60% to 97%

Share of the time, by source and year

Hollow: UKERC’s 90% is the share of generation paid prices set by gas, not how often gas sets the price.

Estimates of how often gas sets Britain's electricity price, on a 0 to 100% scale: my test 56–87%, central 80% for October 2025 to September 2026; DESNZ about 60% today; Modo Energy below 80% in 2024; Zakeri and Staffell 97% in 2021, a gas-crisis year. UKERC's 90% is drawn hollow: it is the share of generation paid gas-driven prices in 2024, not a share of time.

Source: the author’s analysis; DESNZ; Modo Energy via Carbon Brief; Zakeri and Staffell (2023); UKERC See the numbers: Estimates of how often gas sets the price run from about 60% to 97%

Published estimates of how often gas sets Great Britain's electricity price. Methods and years differ.
Source Estimate What it measures
My test (2025/26)56–87%, central 80%share of the time: price near gas cost, Oct 2025 - Sep 2026
DESNZ (2026)about 60%share of the time: "around 60%" today, no method published
Modo Energy (2024)below 80%share of the time: price above gas power's price, "below 80%" of hours
Zakeri and Staffell (2021)97%share of the time: peer-reviewed, a gas-crisis year
UKERC (2024)about 90%share of generation paid gas-driven prices, not of time

When gas sets a high price, older wind farms, nuclear stations and other plants paid the market price earn well above their running costs, and that windfall is partly taxed through the Electricity Generator Levy. DESNZ said in the same April release that the rate would go up from 45% to 55%.

In July 2025 the government decided to keep one wholesale price for the whole country rather than split Britain into zones with prices of their own.

Is wind really the cheapest power?

On 14 January the government announced the results of its latest auction for contracts for difference and said renewables “remain the cheapest form of electricity generation to build and operate”. Offshore wind farms had won contracts at £91.20/MWh in England and Wales and £89.49 in Scotland. The government put a new gas plant at £147/MWh.

Carbon Brief has pointed out that the £147 assumes a gas plant running only 30% of the time, that the comparison sets new plants against new ones rather than against the gas plants already built, and that it leaves out the cost of balancing the grid.

Other routes, mostly for businesses

Almost all homes buy the usual way. A business, though, can sign a long-term contract directly with a wind or solar farm, known as a power purchase agreement (PPA). A supplier then “sleeves” the deal for a fee, delivering the power, topping it up when the farm isn’t generating and billing for it.

Under rules known as exempt supply, a small generator can supply a site without a supply licence, and the units it generates itself skip the four main levies, which pay for renewable subsidies and back-up power, though any top-up power still pays them. According to Ofgem and the government, the levies those units skip are spread across everyone else’s bills. Enviromena says its Rhigos Road solar farm near Aberdare, switched on by June 2026, sells to businesses this way, with Evolve Energy as the supplier.

Tem and UrbanChain are among the newer energy companies that match renewable generators with businesses. The power still travels on the same shared wires, so the matching happens in the accounts: every 30 minutes each generator’s output is counted against a business’s use, and when the generators make too little, the licensed supplier buys the rest from the market.

Every route still pays for the wires

Four ways electricity can reach a customer

  • The usual way

    Homes and most businesses

    1. Generator
    2. Aggregator
    3. Wholesale market
    4. Supplier
    5. Broker, for businesses (optional)
    6. You

    Skips nobody

    Most suppliers buy this way

    Still pays

    • The wires
    • Balancing and settlement
    • Government schemes
  • A direct deal

    A business agrees a long-term price with one wind or solar farm (a PPA)

    1. Wind or solar farm
    2. Deal platform (optional)
    3. Supplier, delivering it (“sleeving”)
    4. Broker (optional)
    5. Business

    Skips the aggregator and the traders

    Deal platforms such as Pexapark and LevelTen

    Still pays

    • The wires
    • Balancing and settlement
    • Government schemes
  • Exempt supply

    A business buys from a small generator that needs no supply licence

    1. Small generator
    2. Agent who splits the volumes
    3. Matching platform (optional)
    4. Supplier, for the top-up only
    5. Business

    Skips the aggregator, the traders and the broker

    Agents such as Sitigrid and Enosi; suppliers such as Good Energy

    Still pays

    • The wires
    • Balancing and settlement
    • Government schemes on top-up only

    The generator’s own units skip the four main schemes: the Renewables Obligation, feed-in tariffs, CfDs and the capacity market.

  • A matching supplier

    Renewable generators matched with businesses, half-hour by half-hour

    1. Generators
    2. Matching supplier
    3. Licensed supplier (its own or a host’s)
    4. Market for leftovers
    5. Broker (optional)
    6. Business

    Skips the aggregator and the traders

    Such as Tem (on Versa Energy’s licence) and UrbanChain

    Still pays

    • The wires
    • Balancing and settlement
    • Government schemes

No route skips the wires. Every unit is carried by the national grid and a local network, balanced by NESO and settled by Elexon, and pays for all of it. Dashed: optional. Company names are examples, not a ranking.

Four routes from a generator to a customer, side by side: the usual way (generator, aggregator, wholesale market, supplier, optional broker, you); a direct deal with one wind or solar farm, delivered by a supplier; exempt supply from a small generator, with an agent splitting the volumes and a supplier for the top-up; and a matching supplier such as Tem or UrbanChain. Every route pays for the wires, balancing and settlement on every unit. Only exempt supply keeps the four main government schemes off the generator's own units; the top-up power still pays them.

Source: the author’s map of the supply chain, from Ofgem, Elexon and Companies House registers See the numbers: Every route still pays for the wires

Who handles the power on each route, and what it pays. Registers as at 15 Oct 2026. Company names are examples, not a ranking.
Route Chain, generator to customer Skips Still pays
The usual wayGenerator → Aggregator → Wholesale market → Supplier → Broker, for businesses (optional) → YouSkips nobodyWires, balancing and settlement, and all government schemes, on every unit
A direct dealWind or solar farm → Deal platform (optional) → Supplier, delivering it (“sleeving”) → Broker (optional) → BusinessSkips the aggregator and the tradersWires, balancing and settlement, and all government schemes, on every unit
Exempt supplySmall generator → Agent who splits the volumes → Matching platform (optional) → Supplier, for the top-up only → BusinessSkips the aggregator, the traders and the brokerWires, balancing and settlement on every unit; the four main schemes (RO, FiT, CfD, capacity market) only on the top-up power
A matching supplierGenerators → Matching supplier → Licensed supplier (its own or a host’s) → Market for leftovers → Broker (optional) → BusinessSkips the aggregator and the tradersWires, balancing and settlement, and all government schemes, on every unit
If you run a small business
  • No price cap. Prices are set by contract, and if a fixed deal ends without a new one, the supplier’s out-of-contract rates apply, which are usually higher.
  • More tax and levies. VAT is 20% and the Climate Change Levy is added, unless the site uses very little. Taxpayers’ cover for Renewables Obligation costs this year applies to household bills only.
  • Brokers. For contracts signed since October 2024, the supplier must show any broker’s fee in the contract’s main terms.
  • Capacity charges. A larger site can pay a daily charge for the most power its connection can draw, whether it uses it or not.

Per unit, small firms paid about 29p in the first half of 2025, while the largest users paid 22p, according to DESNZ.

What happens when the price goes below zero?

On windy, sunny days with low demand the wholesale price can fall below zero, meaning sellers pay buyers to take their power. Plants under the RO still earn certificates for every unit, and the first CfDs, signed on the earliest terms, kept paying their full price too, while newer contracts stop paying during runs of negative prices. The consultancy Aurora Energy Research names these older plants and the first CfDs as one of the main causes of negative prices.

On Sunday 5 April 2026, when the day-ahead price stayed below zero for 18 hours straight, the East Anglia One offshore wind farm, on one of the first CfDs, was paid its full agreed price of £176.12/MWh throughout, which came to about £1.98m of the £2.17m it was paid that day.

Have the wires pushed bills up?

After inflation, UKERC finds that network costs added £28 a year to the typical electricity bill between 2021 and 2025, while wholesale costs added £112. In cash terms network charges on the typical bill have risen 80% since April 2021, from about £127 a year to £229.

Standing charges where you live, and the trial

Ofgem’s model puts a year of standing charges at about £152 in London and £242 in North Wales and Merseyside, the most expensive region.

EDF, E.ON, Octopus and British Gas have been running a year-long trial of lower standing charges since June. Ofgem says customers who buy both gas and electricity from one supplier could pay about £150 a year less in standing charges, though it expects suppliers to set higher unit rates and says the change is “unlikely to reduce bills” overall.

The “£300 off bills” promise

Before the 2024 general election, Labour said its plans would “help families to save up to £300 on their average energy bills every year from 2030”. The figure came from an October 2023 Ember report and covered electricity bills alone, not gas. Full Fact said it “is out of date and isn’t based on an assessment of Labour’s plans”. In September 2024 the government told Full Fact it stood by the figure.

Further reading

How I made this

The household bill is built from Ofgem’s price-cap model for October to December 2026, and the power-station charts from Elexon’s published prices and output. Every other number comes from the published sources listed below, and each is checked against a log of claims kept with the analysis.

The analysis and source checks were done with AI assistance, and a separate pass reopened the source for each claim. No energy-industry expert has reviewed this version yet, and that review is still needed.

The data behind the bill is free to reuse under the Open Government Licence: the typical bill by Ofgem’s cost line and the standing charge since 2021, both as CSV files.

Full methods

The household bill. The typical bill is from Ofgem’s default tariff cap level model, version 1.31, for October to December 2026. It is a single-rate electricity customer paying by Direct Debit and using 2,500 kWh a year (Ofgem’s typical consumption value), as the simple mean of the 14 regions, which is Ofgem’s own GB average.

I read each cost line from the model’s benchmark and nil-consumption tabs. The lines sum to £854.72.

The published rates, 26.32p a unit and 54.83p a day, give £858.13 at 2,500 kWh. The £3.41 difference is a small levelisation allowance, which makes Direct Debit and prepayment standing charges equal and is not in Ofgem’s breakdown.

The year-earlier bill uses Ofgem’s pre-levelised model for October to December 2025, which is built at 3,100 kWh. I rescaled each line to 2,500 kWh as its nil-consumption part plus the rest in proportion, which assumes every variable cost scales with use. That year’s bill included 5% VAT.

The standing charge history is the model’s nil-consumption cost in each period, before VAT and levelisation, and so are the regional figures.

The usage chart is arithmetic with the published rates: the standing charge for a year plus the unit rate times use, divided by use. The rule of thumb that £10/MWh is about £25 a year is the same arithmetic at 2,500 kWh, before losses on the wires.

The CfD figure is my calculation from the Low Carbon Contracts Company’s price-cap inputs for October to December 2026. Forecast CfD payments of £361.5m over 72.1 TWh of demand are about £5.0/MWh, which times 2.5 MWh is £12.54.

The £12.54 is one quarter’s forecast at an annual rate. The real cost moves with market prices, and Ofgem doesn’t publish the CfD part of its wholesale line separately.

The 2022/23 CfD flows are from the Low Carbon Contracts Company’s annual report: generators paid in £677m, suppliers paid in £669m, and the net £8.6m went back to suppliers.

How often gas sets the price. I compared the market index price for each half-hour from 1 October 2025 to 30 September 2026 with the running cost of an efficient gas plant. That cost uses 54% efficiency, the daily system average gas price (ONS), the UK carbon price (DESNZ’s monthly UK ETS average) and the Carbon Price Support rate (HMRC), plus a small running-cost allowance.

A half-hour counts as consistent with gas setting the price if the price is at least 85% of that cost, which gives 80%. At 100% it gives 56–58%, depending on the price index, and at 70% it gives 87%.

The test can’t see individual offers, so it measures consistency with gas setting the price, not proof.

Before running it, I set a check that the result should land within 10 points of DESNZ’s “around 60%”. The central case missed by 20 points, and the strict case passed. DESNZ publishes no method, so the gap can’t be traced further. The market index covers about a fifth of power used. The rest is traded earlier in deals whose prices aren’t published.

The power-station chart. It uses Elexon’s generation by fuel at three moments chosen by fixed rules.

The November evening is the winter weekday evening with wind under 4 GW and the price closest to an older gas plant’s running cost. The December evening has the price within 5% of an efficient plant’s cost and the highest demand. The March afternoon has the price under 60% of it and the most wind. Only gas’s running cost is worked out, so the order of the other blocks is illustrative.

Who handles the power. The usual path and the four routes come from a map of the supply chain built from public registers: Ofgem’s licence list, Elexon’s lists of qualified parties and BSC signatories, and Companies House.

The rules for exempt supply come from Elexon’s change P442 (in force since 27 February 2025) and Ofgem’s decision approving it.

Descriptions of Tem and UrbanChain are their own. UrbanChain’s licence (as UC Energy) is on Ofgem’s licence list, and Tem’s use of Versa Energy’s licence is from Tem’s published FAQ and the same list, where Tem has no entry.

Sources and licences
  • Ofgem, default tariff cap level model v1.31, pre-levelised model for October 2025, price cap summary letter (26 August 2026), unit rates and standing charges page. Also its standing charges options paper (December 2024) and lower standing charge tariff updates (2025–26), RIIO-3 final determinations (December 2025). Open Government Licence v3.0.
  • Elexon BMRS, market index prices and generation by fuel. Contains BMRS data © Elexon Limited copyright and database right 2026 (licence).
  • Ofgem licence list, Elexon’s register of qualified parties and BSC signatories, Companies House, and Tem’s and UrbanChain’s own published descriptions, for who handles the power on each route (company descriptions are treated as company claims). Open Government Licence v3.0 or public registers.
  • Low Carbon Contracts Company, price-cap inputs for CfD and the new-nuclear levy, and Annual Report 2022/23. Open Government Licence v3.0.
  • DESNZ, press releases of 14 January and 21 April 2026, Contracts for Difference Allocation Round 7 results, Renewables Obligation level calculations, UK ETS monthly prices, and Quarterly Energy Prices tables 3.4.1 and 3.4.2. Open Government Licence v3.0.
  • ONS, system average price of gas; HMRC, Carbon Price Support rates. Open Government Licence v3.0.
  • EMR Settlement, capacity market payment figures. Open Government Licence v3.0.
  • UKERC, The price of power discussion paper (November 2025) and Review of Energy Policy 2025. Figures quoted, nothing reproduced.
  • Zakeri, Staffell and others, Energy Reports 10 (2023). Ember, British power prices are increasingly independent from gas (May 2026). Figures only.
  • Carbon Brief Q&As (February and March 2026) and budget coverage (November 2025); Full Fact (June and September 2024); Aurora Energy Research (2024). Figures and short quotes only.

Corrections

  • 16 October 2026. This piece replaces “Free electricity, full price”, published the same day, which followed a business bill; the old address redirects here. That version said CfD generators paid £677m into the scheme in 2022/23. The net figure is used here, because suppliers also paid in £669m and the net return was £8.6m.
  • 16 October 2026, earlier version. After an expert check, that version was corrected on five main points, plus smaller ones; where they apply here, they are carried into this one. Exempt supply skips four schemes on the generator’s own units (the Renewables Obligation, feed-in tariffs, CfDs and the Capacity Market), not two. UK Power Networks is privately owned, and Ofgem runs the older green schemes but doesn’t collect the money. The pass-through comparison gives the whole year, when it would have cost more, as well as the below-zero half-hours. CfD generators pay back when power is dear, and older plants also push prices below zero. Balancing and levy rates don’t change through the day.

Last updated: 16 October 2026.